“ ‘China factory production has gradually resumed and that’s a good sign from a supply chain-perspective… and we think the U.S. economy is too strong.’ ”
That’s Zhou Wang explaining to Bloomberg News why his QQQ Capital hedge fund is cashing in on the bets against airlines, hotels and the S&P 500 SPX, -1.70% that it placed a month earlier to take advantage of a worsening coronavirus outbreak.
According to the latest tally, there are now 107,758 confirmed cases of COVID-19 and 3,658 deaths. In the U.S., there have been 437 diagnosed cases and 19 deaths.
Wang’s short positions took a hit initially as the market seemed to shrug off the initial doom-and-gloom headlines. He might have been shaken from his short thesis had he not taken a holiday to China’s tropical island of Hainan, where what he saw convinced him to maintain his positions.
“After Wuhan was closed you could feel the panic,” Wang told Bloomberg. “Normally for Chinese New Year there would be people everywhere queuing for restaurants and going to the beach, but this year there was no one — everything was empty.”
So he stuck with his bearish stance, and it paid off handsomely for investors to the tune of a 77% surge for his Singapore-based fund through the first two months of the year.
Wang said he doesn’t expect this downturn to be as serious as the one that hobbled markets during the global financial crisis, so he’s now taking a more bullish position. At this point, he’s preparing for central banks around the world to ramp up liquidity and cut interest rates even further.
By the looks of the futures market, Wang might have taken profits too early. On Sunday night, the Dow Jones Industrial Average futures YM00, -4.86% was down more than 1,100 points, while both S&P 500 futures ES00, -4.89% and Nasdaq futures NQ00, -4.82% were almost 5% lower.